Keith’s DraftKings DFS Playbook: Week 6 (2024)
Hey everyone, it’s Keith Flemming, the head of DFS content at Fantasy In Frames and FantasyInFrames.com and host of our NFL DraftKings DFS show, The Daily Fix! Welcome to my weekly series, Keith’s DraftKings DFS Playbook!
Last week I was unable to post this article for Week 5 due to me being under the weather. I’m going to make up for it this week with banger MME and Cash Game plays for the Week 6 DraftKings main slate!
Each week, I’ll be providing a DraftKings MME and Cash Game play for each game of the NFL main slate each week. If you’re asking which kind of DraftKings contest I recommend, I prefer cash game contests (single-entries and 50/50s) because they give you the best chance of turning a consistent profit.
When choosing a cash game play for DraftKings, my first goal is to choose players I expect to at least score 3x their salary. Typically, in 50/50- and single-entry contests a good scoring baseline for cashing is 150 points or 3x the $50,000 salary.
My MME (multi-entry) suggestion is to focus on players with serious upside potential or low ownership. Stacking a quarterback with one or more pass catchers in your DK lineup is more important than in cash game lineups.
Here is my DraftKings DFS Playbook: Week 6 (2024)!
Texans @ Patriots (HOU-6.5) O/U 37.5
Joe Mixon is EXPECTED to play vs the Patriots this weekend barring any setbacks via @AaronWilson_NFL
— Jacob (@Stroud4MVP) October 11, 2024
Huge addition to the Texans run game that has been struggling since he went out 🤘🏻 pic.twitter.com/yPjdE3LVPt
MME: Drake Maye $5.0k (DK projected own 2%)
- Maye threw for nearly 8k yards over his two seasons as the UNC Tar Heels starter.
- Throwing 63 passing touchdowns to only 16 interceptions. He threw an interception on less than 2% of his pass attempts in college.
- Adding Maye’s 16 rushing touchdowns during his two seasons at UNC you see his fantasy potential. It’s the nearly 40 rushing yards per game making me bullish of him immediately in fantasy. His rushing upside raises his floor significantly.
- The trio of Josh Allen, Anthony Richardson, and Caleb Williams combined for over 150 yards on the ground versus the Texans. With each of those QBs rushing for at least 44 yards in those games.
Cash: Tank Dell $6.2k
- Dell’s stat line from his one game without Collins last season 6 receptions/56 yards/TD/14 targets
- Last Four Games w/ 70%+ Snaps…
- 2023 Weeks 9-12
- 29.6 PPR FPts
- 18.9
- 28.9
- 17.2
- Dell’s splits vs man defense have been much better this season (Patriots run man at 5th highest rate in NFL)
Commanders @ Ravens (BLT-6.5) O/U 51.5
Lamar Jackson is the Greatest Dual Threat Quarterback of All-Time.
— Robert Griffin III (@RGIII) October 12, 2024
Jayden Daniels is on path to become the Greatest QB in Washington Commanders History.
An Epic Battle of the Beltway shows us just how far the Quarterback position has come. pic.twitter.com/fYecjNarEr
MME: Dyami Brown $4.0k (DK projected own% 0.2%)
- Ravens allowing most passing yards in NFL/3rd most YPA
- Baltimore allowing nearly 5 passing plays of 20+ yards per game
- Brown is coming off his best game of the season which included a 41 yard TD
Cash: Jayden Daniels $7.3k
- scored 20.7 pts or more in 4 of 5 games this season
- Averaging 10.1 ppg just in rushing on DK this season
- After averaging 205 passing yards with 0 TDs the first two games this season
- Since he’s averaging 242 passing yards per game with 4 passing TDs
Browns @ Eagles (PHI-9.5) O/U 42.5
#Eagles WRs AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith and RT Lane Johnson are all off the injury report and will make their returns Sunday vs. the Browns. pic.twitter.com/cp77rUm0H5
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) October 11, 2024
MME: David Njoku $4.2k (DK projected own% 1.2%)
- low ownership for an elite TE
- Njoku has played limited snaps this season but ended last season with 5 consecutive finishes of TE4 or better (averaging 20.72 ppg in that span)
- Eagles last game Cade Otton caught 6 passes for 52 yards
Cash: AJ Brown $7.8k
- Browns run man rate at one of the highest rates in NFL history
- Last season among WRs Brown vs man 1st in target rate vs man at 35.3%
- His only game this season he was targeted on 37.5% of passing plays vs man
- Projected to be the 17th most owned WR this week on DK
Cardinals @ Packers (GB-5) O/U 47.5
Elgton Jenkins handing out 3-for-1 specials 👀 pic.twitter.com/2GB7840mqv
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) October 12, 2024
MME: Dontayvion Wicks $5.2k (DK projected own% unavailable)
- 1st in targets on the Packers the last 3 games
- Much better versus the zone across the board (Arizona runs zone at 5th highest rate)
- Love is continuing to get healthier and this passing offense is going to continue to improve
Cash: Tucker Kraft $4.8k
- Over his last two games he’s caught 10 passes on 14 targets for 141 yards and 3 scores
- 43.1 pts scored on DK in that span
- Facing a Arizona D that ranks 17th vs TEs
- Last week George Kittle had 8 receptions and a TD vs this defense
- Among TEs Kraft is top 3 in
- RZ Tgts (1st)
- YAC (2nd)
- TDs (1st)
- Yards per Reception (1st)
- Target Separation (2nd)
Bucs @ Saints (TB-3.5) O/U 41.5
Saints QB Spencer Rattler on WR Chris Olave:
— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) October 10, 2024
“I make it a key point that when he’s in, get him the ball.”pic.twitter.com/vcIsjGyPh1
MME: Spencer Rattler $4.0k (DK projected own% unavailable)
- I’ve been playing DFS a long time and can never remember a starting QB available for $4.0k
- Gives you immense flexibility with the rest of your lineup if you stack Rattler with Olave or Shaheed (at most 21% of your DK lineup)
- When we last saw the Bucs they allowed Kirk Cousins to throw 509 yards and 4 TDs at a 72% comp rate
- Cousins numbers from his other four games 854 yards with 4 TDs/64 comp %
Cash: Bucky Irving $5.4k
- Rachaad Whte has been ruled out of this game
- Irving is averaging nearly 9 ppg despite not exceeding 44% of offensive snaps in a game
- Irving is 13th in Yards Per Touch
- Top-20 in breakaway run rate and evading tackles
Colts @ Titans (TEN-2.5) O/U 42.5
Tony Pollard as a top 10 play this week? Tony Pollard as a top 10 play this week! Via #FFHappyHour @LordDontLose @ConnorJRogers @rotoworld_fb pic.twitter.com/V60MreJ2C9
— Matthew Berry (@MatthewBerryTMR) October 11, 2024
MME: Chig Okonkwo 3.3k (DK projected own% 0.8%)
- Colts are 31st on DK vs TEs
- Colts have allowed a TD in 3 straight to TEs, Pat Friermuth, Cole Kmet, and Brenton Strange combined for 19 receptions for 168 yards and 3 TDs
Cash: Tony Pollard $6.0k
- Colts have allowed the 2nd most rushing yards in the league and 20 receptions for nearly 200 yards to RBs in their last 3 games
- Pollard is 8th among RBs in expected fantasy pts per game
- 5th among RBs in target share
Chargers @ Broncos (LAC-3) O/U 35.5
Really impressed by what we've seen so far from Chargers WR Ladd McConkey. His route running + YAC ability is already translating at the NFL level–would love to see Roman use him to attack downfield from the slot more, as he absolutely has the juice for it. pic.twitter.com/PNpLjEk2Z4
— Mina Kimes (@minakimes) October 11, 2024
MME and Cash: Ladd McConkey $4.9k (DK projected own% unavailable)
- In Two Games w/ 70%+ Snaps
- 7.4 Yards After Catch/Reception
- 28.3% Target Share
- 1 Touchdown
- McConkey is emerging as the WR1 for Justin Herbert.
- Pat Surtain guards outside WRs (Ladd lines up in slot 60.8%)
Steelers @ Raiders (PIT-3) O/U 36.5
Brock Bowers is playing like a Pro Bowl tight end already…
— Snoog's Fantasy HQ (@FFSnoog) October 11, 2024
We labeled him a GENERATIONAL prospect for a reason:
– 13.3 FP/G (TE3)
– 2nd in air yards
– 31.0% target rate 🔥
– 6th in yards per target
– 9th in yards per reception
– 21.6% team target share %
– 2.70+ yards per… pic.twitter.com/90TqdPyJz5
MME: Justin Fields $5.8k (DK projected own 11.8%)
- Daniels/Lamar upside at a serious discount in price
- Last 3 weeks 22.4 ppg
- Among QBs for DK Mainslate, Fields ranks 4th in pts scored during that span
- Daniels is $1500 more despite averaging less than a point more per game than Fields over last games
Cash: Brock Bowers $6.0k
- I have a clip on my tiktok (KeithFlemmingDFS) on @dynoNFL Dynasty Show saying I think Bowers could be TE1 this season and would def be TE1 heading into next season
- Bowers #s this season among TEs
- 35 targets (1st)
- 28 catches (1st)
- 313 yards (1st)
- 66.5 PPR Points (1st)
- Bowers routes, target rates, and fantasy pts are significantly higher in games Adams doesn’t play
Lions @ Cowboys (DET-3.5) O/U 52.5
Cowboys will be down another starter against the Lions. Middle Linebacker Eric Kendricks is listed out for the game. This is huge. Kendricks is the green dot of runs Mike Zimmer’s defense on the field, getting the young linebackers in place pic.twitter.com/fn3I33wdLB
— Clarence Hill Jr (@clarencehilljr) October 11, 2024
MME: Jamyr Gibbs $7.0k
Cash: David Montgomery $6.5k
- Cowboys 31st in DVOA
- Remember what the Ravens and Saints did to this run defense
- The Lions duo has combined for 8 TDs this season with Gibbs scoring in 3/4 and Montgomery scoring in all four games
Falcons @ Panthers (ATL-6.5) O/U 46.5
Swag Surf Kirk got the Panthers this week.
— LaQuan Jones (@RealDealFantasy) October 11, 2024
The worst defense in the NFL right now, allowing 33 PPG.
88% of the Falcons' offensive touchdowns come from Kirko.
Coming off straight vibes & career highs.. another big week for Mr. Chainz. 🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/5EW0iVgEme
MME: Chuba Hubbard $6.3k
- Hubbard with a TD in 3 straight
- Averaging 22.5 ppg in that span
- Believe this game will be highest scoring matchup this Sunday
Cash: Darnell Mooney $5.4k
- Mooney being 5.3k despite catching 23 passes over his last four games, being targeted 37 times in the process (most of any Falcons pass catcher in that span)
- Mooney’s averaging on DK over those four games nearly 19 ppg with at least 8.6 in each of them and 14.6 pts or more in 3 of 4
- He’s facing a Panthers secondary that’s allowed the most receiving TDs in the NFL
- The 6th most passing plays of 20+ yds and the second most of 40+ this season
- Mooney is running routes on 100% of Falcons passing plays
- Having seen the 5th most deep targets among WRs
- Mooney has at least one reception of 24 yards or more in four straight