Welcome to Fantasy Football Buy-Low/Sell-High for Week 10!
This week we will discuss buy-low/sell-high recommendations for players keeping in mind this could also be adds/drops depending on your specific roster situation. Fantasy In Frames provides informed decisions on the not-so-obvious picks by concentrating on RB/WRs outside Consensus Top 24 and QB/TEs outside Consensus Top 10.
Buy-Low
Allen Lazard (WR), Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams’ departure had many speculating about who would be Aaron Rodgers’ new WR1. After nine weeks, the answer is Allen Lazard. Through Weeks 6-9 (inactive Wk8), Lazard averaged nine TGTS/G for 13.6 FPTS/G and two TDs. He had another called back on the 1yd line last week against the Lions. His five TDs on the season don’t sound impressive, but he is good for 9th in the League and only two behind leaders Stefon Diggs and his WR1 predecessor, Davante Adams. In addition to the production, Lazard is averaging 14.2 Yards per Reception Y/REC while only lining up 58% of snaps Wide. His 60-40 split Wide vs. Slot shows Lazard’s versatility and that he’s targeted regardless of the game script. Romeo Doubs is out at least until the Fantasy playoffs, and fellow-rookie Christian Watson has yet to develop, meaning Lazard will continue to be Rodgers’ primary passing threat.
Jerry Jeudy (WR), Denver Broncos
For as much as we have been down on the Russell Wilson and the Denver Bronco offense, Jerry Jeudy is quietly trending up on a productive few weeks. From Weeks 6-9, Jeudy has dwarfed teammate Courland Sutton in both TGTS (25 vs. 16) and FPTS/G (11.8 vs. 2.7). A critical factor in the target disparity is Jeudy’s efficiency. Despite ranking outside the Top 30 in WR Targets, he ranks 4th overall in Y/REC and 13th in Yards After Catch (YAC) with 213, which includes a Bye Week. Another reason for Jeudy and the Broncos’ Offense is their schedule going forward. 5 of their next 6 games and 6 of their last 8 of the Fantasy Football season are against teams that rank in the bottom half of the League in Team Defense. Three of those Defenses (Raiders, Panthers, and Cardinals) are terrible, plus they play the Chiefs twice, which should be a positive game script for the passing game. In the past few weeks, Jeudy has already proven to be a Top 20 Fantasy WR, but even a modest improvement in Russell Wilson’s performance could boost him higher in PPR leagues.
Sell-High
Brandin Cooks (WR), Houston Texans
Consider this a Sell-High, Sell-Low, or even a Drop depending on league size and roster situation. Brandin Cooks falls into a category similar to Diontae Johnson, where the WR1 on a lousy team should’ve resulted in a safe floor with upside but hasn’t. Cooks has not had double-digit Targets since Week 2 and has only averaged six targets in the games he’s played since. On the same note, Cooks has only hit double-digit Fantasy Points twice (Weeks 1 and 4) and has two games where he scored less than five. Despite being 1-6-1 and constantly needing to pass to keep up, Cooks is catching passes from Davis Mills, who ranks Bottom 10 in Pass Attempts (258) and Completions (162). The schedule from now on is even more brutal, including match-ups against the Giants, Dolphins, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Titans. Cooks is also not in good graces with team management after letting off a series of Tweets and public statements expressing disappointment with not being traded and the Texans’ losing season overall. Despite this, Cooks is still 82% rostered, mainly due to name recognition and the perceived target share. It would not be easy to trade him 1-for-1 but consider packaging him in a 2-for-1. But not to a Texans fan. We know better.
Khalil Herbert (RB), Chicago Bears
Khalil Herbert represents a true Sell-High in that he’s been great the past few weeks and on the season. He is currently RB21 with Total FPTS (97.8), vastly outperforming his RB55 Average Draft Position (ADP). Even more impressive is that he is 1st in Yards per Rushing Attempt (YPA) among RBs with at least 90 carries. Fun fact… Herbert leads all Running Backs with 6.0 YPA but doesn’t even lead his own team. That honor belongs to his Quarterback, Justin Fields (6.6 YPA), the primary reason Herbert makes this list. Herbert was already averaging fewer Rushing Attempts per Game (10.5) than David Montgomery (15) but is now 3rd on the team behind Fields (12.2) since Week 6. Despite losing 3 of their last 4 in this span, the offense looks much better, and it seems like the coaching staff is finally figuring out how to utilize Fields’ rushing upside. And it’s not just his rushing ability. Through Weeks 6-9, he averaged 25 Passing Attempts per Game compared to a league-worst 17.6 Attempts in Weeks 1-5. More passing and rushing from Fields means fewer opportunities for Hebert. And if that’s not enough, the Bears have a Week 14 Bye, then face the Eagles and Bills for the 1st two rounds of the Fantasy Playoffs. Consider trading for one of the Buy-Low candidates on this list or another RB2 with a more consistent role.
