2025 Dynasty Faller: Breece Hall
The New York Jets made a splash in the 2022 NFL Draft, selecting the first running back off the board—Breece Hall—at 36th overall. Hall wasted no time making his mark, finishing as a top-15 fantasy RB in five of his first seven games. But just as he was breaking out, his electric rookie campaign was cut short by a torn ACL.
Since returning to full health, Hall has looked like himself again. To his credit, he’s topped 1,300 total yards in back-to-back seasons, finishing as the RB2 and RB16 in PPR scoring. He’s also become a target monster in the passing game, racking up volume that fewer backs can match.
Hall ranked third among running backs in targets last season, turning those looks into 57 catches for 483 receiving yards. He was also third in passing snaps and third in route runs—clear signs of how heavily the Jets lean on him in the air game. The dude’s a straight-up beast in space.
But here’s the real question: does Hall’s rushing ability match his elite receiving game—and does that justify his lofty dynasty ranking? Sure, age is on his side at just 24. However, according to Dynasty League Football, Hall is being drafted as the RB5 in Superflex formats and RB6 in single-QB leagues. That’s a premium pick for a player with a one-dimensional tilt.
In 2024, Hall logged 209 carries for 876 rushing yards—just 4.2 yards per attempt, ranked 28th among qualifying backs. He found the end zone five times on the ground. That’s steep capital for a player starting to look more like a receiving specialist than a true workhorse.
The Jets also added rookie Braelon Allen last year in the fourth round—a bruising 235-pound back out of Wisconsin. While Allen isn’t directly threatening Hall’s receiving role, he could chip away at short-yardage and goal-line carries. That’s the last thing Hall managers want to see, especially after a season where his rushing efficiency dipped and touchdown totals were already modest.
Dig into the advanced metrics, and the red flags keep piling up. Among all running backs with 150+ carries last season (per Fantasy Points Data), Hall ranked among the 10 worst in stuffed run percentage in 2023 and 2024—meaning a high rate of his runs were stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. Even worse? He forced just 27 missed tackles all year. Yikes..
You’ve got to protect the football—and Breece Hall didn’t. He fumbled six times last season, just one behind league leader Rhamondre Stevenson—no surprise PFF gave him a career-low grade of 62.0.
As dynamic as Hall is in the passing game, I can’t justify taking him near the top 5 at the running back position in dynasty. Instead, consider pivoting to a rising wideout like Jaxon Smith-Njigba or an elite tight end like Trey McBride. You can also land strong RBs later in the draft—guys like Kyren Williams, Chase Brown, or Kenneth Walker III—without burning premium capital.
Yes, Breece Hall racks up receiving stats like a fantasy cheat code—but let’s be real. His rushing efficiency dipped, his missed tackles forced were alarmingly low, and he got stuffed more than a Thanksgiving turkey. Add in six fumbles, and you’ve got serious red flags. Yet he’s still going as a top-5 dynasty back? That’s a steep price for a player whose profile looks more specialized than complete—built to dazzle, not to dominate.